A War With Iran Would Further Destabilize the Region | By Shams uz Zaman

Just months before the neo-cons in the U.S. administration were preparing the grounds for invading Iraq, Secretary General of Arab League, Mr. Amar Mousa, gave a grim warning about the consequences of such an invasion. On September 6, 2002, he said, “The war on Iraq would open the gates of hell”. Having analyzed the situation in the Middle East since 2003, one still finds it difficult to explain the region in such an accurate manner in these many words.
The cost of human fatalities and destruction of infrastructure in Iraq, the phenomenon of Arab Spring, the emergence of ISIS and the refugee crisis which has affected Europe and America, can all be attributed to the consequences of U.S. invading Iraq, which even lacked the UN backing. It now appears that the current head of the neo-cons in Washington, John Bolton, is again preparing for another war in the region, and this time with Iran.
After getting elected to office, President Donald Trump justified quitting the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the promise that he would find a better and more comprehensive deal with Iran which would also deal with other issues, especially of Iran’s support to proxies in the region and its ballistic missile program. One year on, after exiting the JCPOA, the U.S. has not even figured out how to reach out to Iran for negotiating such a pact.
On the contrary, unilateral American sanctions have further hardened the position in Tehran, by strengthening the conservatives, who are now more skeptical to trust the words from Washington and therefore, any chances for a new deal are almost negligible.
On the contrary, such a war risks pulling other regional and world powers in the conflict like Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Israel, Russia and possibly China, which would expand the theatre of conflict to a global scale. Russia and Iran had already been allies in Syria and both Russia and China has deep-rooted economic and strategic interests in Iran. Moreover, any reckless action by the U.S. or its allies would further result in anti-American sentiments in the entire Muslim world which would only contribute to the cause of extreme forces around the world.
The divergent approach of the U.S. towards these two states would further strengthen the belief among Muslims that the U.S. policies are primarily directed against their religion and are inspired from the Huntington’s thesis of Clash of Civilizations. A prolonged war with Iran would result in humanitarian and refugee crisis spilling over to other neighboring states and Europe, which are already grappling with the aftermaths of conflict in Iraq and Syria.
European and American governments usually try to downplay this fact. Consequently, the Europeans and other stable states in the Middle East, along with Russia and China need to play a critical role to pressurize the U.S. from initiating another war in the Middle East. A new war in the region would not only compound the problems in the region but also could set the stage for a more turbulent relationship between Islam and the West.
Source: https://www.globalvillagespace.com/a-war-with-iran-would-further-destabilize-the-region/?fbclid=IwAR2y9MNK6msge0hXCFEdTLPG2mITbGWGgIUzo3-2fOCafICFwsFOIT4J9jY
May 27, 2019

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